Dr Roberto Pasqualino

Visiting Research Fellow

Global Sustainability Institute

Faculty:Faculty of Science and Engineering

Location: Cambridge

Areas of Expertise: Global Risk and Resilience

Roberto is a Visiting Research Fellow with the GSI, having recently completed Doctoral studies, designing a computational model to explore the nexus between economic growth, financial risk, and natural resource scarcity at the global level, using system dynamics.

You can contact Roberto via:



Roberto’s research interest is in seeking a global economic model that works for all, while remaining within the planetary boundaries. This includes finding practical ways to support a global transition towards sustainability, reducing inequality, and supporting a more just world for everybody. His main contribution to the cause is via developing formal computational simulation models of the global economic resource systems embracing the world as a dynamic complex system. The world models integrate aspects such as human behaviour, policy, finance, energy, food and climate change. Ultimately, they can be used to compare futures and highlight deficiencies in the current system, thus servicing policy and decision makers to make a better future for us all.

Roberto’s work has contributed to the Centre for the Understanding of Sustainable Prosperity project from 2016 to 2019, and culminated in his first book ‘Resources Financial Risk and the Dynamics of Growth – Systems and Global Society’ published May 2020. Roberto has also created a start-up (Exoshock Ltd) to employ his models to support large businesses to take decisions that reduce theirs and the wider society’s risks while dealing with global challenges such as the climate crisis and even Covid-19 spread.

Relevant links

  • World3-03-Edited calibration model, published in: Pasqualino, R., Jones, A. W., Monasterolo, I., Philips, A. (2015). Understanding global systems today – A calibration of the World3-03 model between 1995 and 2012. Sustainability, 7, 9864-9889.
  • Economic Risk Resources and Environment (ERRE) model, published in: Pasqualino, R., Jones, A. W. (2020). Resources, Financial Risk, and Dynamics of growth – Systems and Global Society. Oxford: Routledge.


Roberto completed his PhD at the GSI in system dynamics modelling of the global economic resource system. Roberto holds a BSc and MSC in Management Engineering and was awarded a double MSc between the University of Genoa (Italy) and Cranfield University (UK). Further post graduate courses involve entrepreneurship and business internationalization in growing markets through innovation practices, firm performance and sustainable business development, socio-economic national planning and development in both Europe and US. Roberto is a Charted Industrial Engineer.

Selected recent publications

Pasqualino, R. (2020). “Thinking in Systems: the long term impact of short term business growth”, Book chapter in: Corporate Sustainability, Editors Taticchi, P. and Demartini, M., Springer, Berlin, Germany [in publication]

Pasqualino, R., Jones, A. W. (2020). “Resources, Financial Risk, and Dynamics of growth – Systems and Global Society”, Routledge, Oxford, United Kingdom. 

Pasqualino, R., Monasterolo, I., & Jones, A. (2019). “An Integrated Global Food and Energy Security System Dynamics Model for Addressing Systemic Risk”, Sustainability, 11(14), 3995.

Monasterolo, I., Pasqualino, R., Janetos, A.C. and Jones, A., 2016. “Sustainable and Inclusive Food Systems through the Lenses of a Complex System Thinking Approach — A Bibliometric Review”, Agriculture, 6(3), p.44.

Pasqualino, R., Jones, A. W., Monasterolo, I., Philips, A. (2015). “Understanding global systems today – A calibration of the World3-03 model between 1995 and 2012”, Sustainability, 7, 9864-9889.

Taticchi, P., Garengo, P., Nudurupati, S. S., Tonelli, F., & Pasqualino, R. (2015). “A review of decision-support tools and performance measurement and sustainable supply chain management”, International Journal of Production Research, 53(21), 6473-6494.

Taticchi, P., Tonelli, F., Pasqualino, R. 2013. “Performance measurement of sustainable supply chains: A literature review and a research agenda”. International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, 62 (8), pp. 782-804.